2011 MLB Bold Predictions and Season Preview Podcast

Here is a list of my bold predictions for 2011. Some are not extremely bold, but it was difficult coming up with something for each team. These are BOLD prediction, if 100% were likely then they wouldn’t be bold predictions, they’d be boring predictions.

I also recorded an MLB preview podcast with Kevin and Kris over at randomguytalk.com You can listen to the podcast here

Playoff Predictions

AL – Red Sox over Twins, Athletics over Rays
NL – Brewers over Braves, Giants over Phillies

ALCS – Red Sox over Athletics
NLCS  – Brewers over Giants

World Series Red Sox over Brewers

AL MVP – Carl Crawford, Red Sox
NL MVP – Prince Fielder, Brewers

AL Cy Young – Brett Anderson, Athletics
NL Cy Young – Yovani Gallardo, Brewers

Bold Predictions

AL East

  1. Red Sox – Lackey/Beckett 58 starts 30 wins; Bard/Jenks more saves than Papelbon
  2. Rays – Manny 20 HR, James Shields ERA under 4
  3. Yankees – ARod monster year 40/140 .400 OBP, Outside of CC/Hughes no pitcher wins 8 games
  4. Blue Jays  – Jose Bautista 38 HR, JP Arencibia and Edwin Encarnacion 25 HR each
  5. Orioles – Matusz ERA under 4, Reynolds 40 HR 20 SB

AL Central

  1. Twins – only one SP with an ERA under 4; Cuddyer/Kubel 55 HR 195 RBI
  2. Tigers – Rayburn – 25 HR 80 RBI; Porcello ERA over 5
  3. White Sox – Dunn 45 HR 110 RBI no SP has an ERA under 4.00
  4. Royals – no starter has an ERA under 5; Blanco 25 SBs
  5. Indians – Choo 25 HR 100 RBI 25 SB .420 OBP; Chris Perez FT closer and get <25 saves

AL West

  1. Athletics – Andrew Bailey does not get 15 saves; Brett Anderson wins Cy Young
  2. Angels – Abreu 25/100/.300/.400; Haren 3.20 ERA 1.10 WHIP
  3. Rangers – Michael Young 60 games at 3B, 3rd in division
  4. Mariners – Ichiro hits .330 with 45 SBs; Pineda starts 1-7 and gets sent back down to minors

NL East

  1. Braves – Minor gets 25 starts; Venters/Kimbrel under 25 saves
  2. Phillies – Howard 25HR 90 RBI; 52 wins or less for the big 4
  3. Marlins – Infante hits .315 again; Vazquez ERA under 3.30
  4. Nationals – Zimmerman 150 IP 150 K’s sub 4.00 ERA
  5. Mets – K-Rod less than 18 saves

NL Central

  1. Brewers – Prince NL MVP, Gallardo 17 W’s 3.20 ERA
  2. Reds – Votto repeats .324/37/113 and .424 OBP
  3. Cardinals – Berkman 20 HR 95 RBI .400 OBP; Westbrook 3.20 ERA 15 wins
  4. Cubs – Castro .300 avg and leads all SS in 2B; Zambrano 3.00 ERA 16 wins
  5. Pirates – win 80 games, Garrett Jones 30 HR 100 RBI
  6. Astros – lose 100 games, Brett Wallace hits <.220

NL West

  1. Giants – Linecum 3rd best starter behind Cain/Sanchez (good problem), top 4 SP win 60 (MB)
  2. Rockies –Tulo 37 HR 110 RBI .320, Street 40 saves
  3. Dodgers – Kemp .300 30 110 Ethier .300 25 115; no closer more than 12 saves
  4. Padres – Heath Bell is traded a month into the season.
  5. Diamondbacks – Kennedy/Hudson 350 IP 350 Ks, Chris Young 30 HR, 100 RBI 30 SB